An improved method in oil and gas resource assessment—acquiring the coefficient of resource scale variation (k) and its application case
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摘要: 规模序列法基于Pareto定律,有效获取油气藏规模变化系数(k)的取值长期以来是该方法应用中的关键及难点,并制约了该方法的应用成效。通过求取已发现油气资源规模比,利用已发现油气资源可能具有的规模序列号,构建了一种对k的优化取值技术,主要包括:以资源规模序列号与k为坐标轴建立坐标系,根据已发现油气资源规模比做数据交汇,当不同规模比下的交汇数据点近似位于垂直于k轴的直线上时,该直线与k轴的交点即为k的一个解;并进一步提出了在获取k及规模序列解集后,对解集进行优选定解的原则,以满足油气资源评价需求。对已发表文献中经典数据的分析表明,通过应用该技术可有效获取油气藏规模变化系数(k)的取值;并进一步构建了对川中金秋气区盐亭区块侏罗系沙溪庙组6号砂组天然气资源的应用实例,表明预测与实际拟合结果较好,评价结果符合当前盆地天然气勘探认识。该技术对地质经验依赖程度低、不需要设定分析步长、无复杂的行列式-矩阵运算环节,有效降底了在k取值过程中的主观性和计算强度,并实现了程序化,提高了分析时效性,可为规模序列法的深入应用提供帮助。
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关键词:
- 规模序列 /
- 油气藏规模变化系数(k) /
- 分析算法 /
- 资源评价 /
- 天然气
Abstract: Reservoir size sequential analysis is based on Pareto principle. The key and the difficulty is acquiring the value of coefficient as ‘k’ which describes the gradient in variation of resource scale, which restricts the effectiveness of corresponding method. Through calculating ratio of the scales of the discovered resources and applying the possible sequential number, a specific optimized methodology is proposed. It mainly includes establishing the cross plot with the axes of sequential number and k according to the calculated ratio, searching and locating the combination of data points from different ratio which can form an approximately straight and vertical line against the k axis, and acquiring the value in the k axis for the intersection as a solution of k. The principles in optimizing and determining the result after acquiring the solution set to satisfy the need in resource assessment are furtherly suggested. From the re-analysis about the classic data set from open published academic literature, it presents that applying related method can effectively acquire the value of such coefficient (k). An actual application about tight gas contained in reservoir as 6th group of Jurrasic Shaximiao formation in Yanting block of Jinqiu gas-producing area located in the center part of Sichuan Basin is also provided as further support. The linear relevant fitting result is favorable between forecast outcome and actual data. The calculated result of resource scale of this case is consistent with current recognition from tight gas exploration in Sichuan Basin. This methodology is with serval advancements, which includes low dependency on geological experience, no demand in setting analytic step size or complicated determinant and matrix manipulation. The subjectivity and calculative complexity in deciding the key parameters are effectively reduced. Corresponding algorithm is achieved to be coded as computer program. The efficiency is accordingly promoted. It can be helpful in further application of reservoir size sequential method.
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