Prediction of Squeezing Surrounding Rock Tunnel Deformation Based on Support Vector Regression Optimized by Swarm Intelligence Algorithm
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摘要:
隧道工程中,隧道设计和施工安全的前提是准确评估隧道围岩变形量。将萤火虫算法(FA)、鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)和灰狼优化算法(GWO)与优化支持向量回归(SVR)结合起来,并基于此构建了3种混合群智能优化预测模型,以预测挤压性围岩隧道变形量。构建了一个包含62个样本的数据库,选取了7种隧道及围岩初始参数作为预测模型输入参数,将隧道径向变形量作为输出量。决定系数(
R 2)、均方根误差(RMSE )、平均绝对误差(MAE )被选为模型预测效果评价指标。最后,使用归一化互信息法评估不同输入参数对隧道围岩变形预测结果的影响。FA-SVR模型在训练阶段和测试阶段的预测性能优于GWO-SVR模型和WOA-SVR模型,训练集和测试集对应的R 2分别为0.9634 和0.9648 ,RMSE 分别为18.786和14.699,MAE 分别为9.460和11.170,预测能力排序为:FA-SVR>WOA-SVR>GWO-SVR。研究结果表明,萤火虫算法、鲸鱼优化算法和灰狼优化算法均能提高支持向量回归模型的预测性能,FA-SVR模型的预测效果最好,经过优化的混合预测模型性能显著优于经典模型。敏感性分析表明,节理密度是影响隧道围岩变形预测值的最重要参数。Abstract:Objective In tunnel engineering, the prerequisite for tunnel design and construction safety is to accurately assess the amount of deformation of tunnel surrounding rock.
Methods In this paper, the Firefly Algorithm (FA), Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) and Gray Wolf Optimization Algorithm (GWO) are combined with optimized Support Vector Regression (SVR), and based on which three hybrid swarm intelligent optimization prediction models are constructed to predict deformation of extruding surrounding rock tunnels. A database containing 62 samples was constructed, and seven initial parameters of tunnels and surrounding rocks were selected as the input parameters of the prediction models, and the radial deformation of tunnels as the output quantities. The coefficient of determination (
R 2), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) were selected as the evaluation indexes of the model prediction effect. Finally, the effects of different input parameters on the prediction results of tunnel rock deformation were evaluated using normalized mutual information values.Results The FA-SVR model demonstrated superior predictive performance during both the training and testing phases compared to the GWO-SVR and WOA-SVR models. For the training set, the corresponding
R 2 values were0.9634 and0.9648 , respectively, while the RMSE values were 18.786 and 14.699, and the MAE values were 9.460 and 11.170. The ranking of predictive capability was as follows: FA-SVR > WOA-SVR > GWO-SVR.Conclusion The results show that the firefly algorithm, the whale optimization algorithm and the gray wolf optimization algorithm can improve the prediction performance of the support vector regression model, the FA-SVR model has the best prediction effect, and the optimized hybrid prediction model performs significantly better than the classical models. The sensitivity analysis shows that joint frequency is the most important parameter that affects the predicted value of deformation of tunnel surrounding rock.
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表 1 隧道变形预测模型中GWO、FA、WOA初始参数取值
Table 1. Initial parameter values of GWO, FA, and WOA in tunnel deformation prediction models
算法名称 参数 数值 GWO v [2, 0] FA γ 1 β0 2 α 0.2 rand 0.94 WOA m 0.5 q [2, 0] b 1 p 0.5 表 2 基于SVR的混合模型预测效果得分
Table 2. Prediction Performance Score of Hybrid Model Based on SVR
模型(训练集) R2 得分 RMSE 得分 MAE 得分 总得分 GWO-SVR 0.9587 1 19.946 1 9.828 1 3 FA-SVR 0.9634 3 18.786 3 9.460 3 9 WOA-SVR 0.9594 2 19.797 2 9.814 2 6 模型(测试集) R2 得分 RMSE 得分 MAE 得分 总得分 GWO-SVR 0.9589 1 15.870 1 11.987 1 3 FA-SVR 0.9648 3 14.699 3 11.170 3 9 WOA-SVR 0.9619 2 15.282 2 11.386 2 6 -
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