Volume 39 Issue 2
Mar.  2020
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Hu Tao, Fan Xin, Wang Shuo, Guo Zizheng, Liu Aichang, Huang Faming. Landslide susceptibility evaluation of Sinan County using logistics regression model and 3S technology[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology, 2020, 39(2): 113-121. doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2020.0212
Citation: Hu Tao, Fan Xin, Wang Shuo, Guo Zizheng, Liu Aichang, Huang Faming. Landslide susceptibility evaluation of Sinan County using logistics regression model and 3S technology[J]. Bulletin of Geological Science and Technology, 2020, 39(2): 113-121. doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2020.0212

Landslide susceptibility evaluation of Sinan County using logistics regression model and 3S technology

doi: 10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.2020.0212
  • Received Date: 23 Sep 2018
  • The Sinan County of Guizhou Province, due to the specific and complex physical geography and geological conditions, is seriously affected by the landslide hazards. Hence, it is very necessary to conduct regional landslide susceptibility evaluation for landslide prediction and prevention in the area. This study uses 3S technology:remote sensing (RS), globe position system (GPS) and geographic information system (GIS), to evaluate landslide susceptibility based on the logistic regression (LR) model. The 3S technology is applied to obtain the landslide inventory, condition factors of landslides and other related basic data in Sinan County. About 308 landslides and ten affecting factors are acquired digital elevation model (DEM), slope, aspect, profile curvature, rock types, buffer of fracture lines, modified normalized difference water index (MNDWI), distance to river, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and normalized difference building index (NDBI), using the 3S technology. Then based on the correlation analysis, LR model is used to calculate the landslide susceptibility indexes and map these indexes. Results show that, the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) is 0.797 using LR model. The landslide distribution characteristics of Sinan County are accurately predicted by the LR model. In addition, the high and very high susceptible areas are mainly distributed in the areas where the DEM are higher than 600 m. In these areas, the slope are relatively great and the rocks are soft. The low and very low susceptible areas are mainly distributed in the areas where the DEM are high, the slopes are relatively low and the rocks are of hard rock class.

     

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